Professor John MoriartyProfessor of MathematicsEmail: j.moriarty@qmul.ac.ukTelephone: +44 (0)20 7882 2953Room Number: Mathematical Sciences Building, Room: MB-524Website: http://www.maths.qmul.ac.uk/people/jmoriartyProfileResearchPublicationsPublic EngagementProfileJohn Moriarty is Professor of Mathematics in the School of Mathematical Sciences, where he is also the School impact lead. He specialises in applied probability and applications in energy. Prior to joining Queen Mary, John was a Senior Lecturer in Probability and Statistics at the University of Manchester. He holds a BA in Mathematical Sciences, M.Sc. in Applied Statistics and D.Phil. in Mathematics from the University of Oxford. After the completion of his studies, he held a post-doctoral research fellowship at University College Cork. From 2013 to 2020 he held an EPSRC Early Career Research Fellowship, and from 2020-22 he holds a Research Fellowship at the Alan Turing Institute. He served as Principal Organiser for the 2019 Isaac Newton Institute programme on the Mathematics of Energy Systems.ResearchResearch Interests:My current research interests are in applied probability, real options analysis, and applications in energy. Please see my group web page(link is external) for a list of our recent publications and preprints, and also my Google Scholar page. (link is external). I am an EPSRC Early Career Research Fellow and other funding details can be found on the RCUK gateway to research(link is external).Publications Kosmala T, Martyr R, Moriarty J (2023). Markov risk mappings and risk-sensitive optimal prediction Mathematical Methods of Operations Research nameOfConference. 10.1007/s00186-022-00802-z https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/81358 Moriarty J, Martyr R, Perninge M (2022). Discrete-time risk-aware optimal switching with non-adapted costs Advances in Applied Probability nameOfConference. 10.1017/apr.2021.44 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/73586 Moriarty J, Vogrinc J, Zocca A (2021). A Metropolis-class sampler for targets with non-convex support Statistics and Computing nameOfConference. 10.1007/s11222-021-10044-4 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/73598 Arvizu JM, Mason LR, Moriarty J (2021). Reinforcing the role of competition platforms Patterns nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.patter.2021.100326 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/73587 Goodridge M, Moriarty J, Vogrinc J et al. (2021). Hopping between distant basins journal nameOfConference. 10.48550/arxiv.2108.05229 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/77554 Goodridge M, Moriarty J, Pizzoferrato A (2021). A rare-event study of frequency regulation and contingency services from grid-scale batteries Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsta.2019.0433 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/69798 Mancarella P, Moriarty J, Philpott A et al. (2021). Introduction: the mathematics of energy systems Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsta.2019.0425 qmroHref Nesti T, Moriarty J, Zocca A et al. (2021). Large fluctuations in locational marginal prices Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsta.2019.0438 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/64571 Gonzalez J, Papadopoulos PN, Milanović JV et al. (2021). Risk-Constrained Minimization of Combined Event Detection and Decision Time for Online Transient Stability Assessment IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid nameOfConference. 10.1109/tsg.2021.3086236 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/72407 Martyr R, Moriarty J (2021). Nonzero-sum games of optimal stopping and generalised Nash equilibrium problems SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization nameOfConference. 10.1137/18M119803X https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/69801 Goodridge MP, Moriarty J, Pizzoferrato A (2020). Distributions of cascade sizes in power system emergency response journal 2020 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS). 10.1109/pmaps47429.2020.9183642 qmroHref Hamadène S, Martyr R, Moriarty J (2019). A probabilistic verification theorem for the finite horizon two-player zero-sum optimal switching game in continuous time Advances in Applied Probability nameOfConference. 10.1017/apr.2019.19 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/56177 Moriarty J, Palczewski J (publicationYear). Imbalance Market Real Options and the Valuation of Storage in Future Energy Systems Risks nameOfConference. 10.3390/risks7020039 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/56775 Moriarty J, Vogrinc J, Zocca A (2018). Frequency violations from random disturbances: an MCMC approach journal 2018 IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC). 10.1109/cdc.2018.8619304 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/48483 Martyr R, Moriarty J, Beck C (2019). Optimal control of a commercial building's thermostatic load for off-peak demand response Journal of Building Performance Simulation nameOfConference. 10.1080/19401493.2018.1535624 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/49407 De Angelis T, Ferrari G, Moriarty J (2018). A Solvable Two-Dimensional Degenerate Singular Stochastic Control Problem with Non Convex Costs Mathematics of Operations Research nameOfConference. 10.1287/moor.2018.0934 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/36427 De Angelis T, Ferrari G, MORIARTY JM (2018). Nash equilibria of threshold type for two-player nonzero-sum games of stopping Annals of Applied Probability nameOfConference. 10.1214/17-AAP1301 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/22541 Johnson P, MORIARTY JM, Peskir G (2017). Detecting Changes in Real-Time Data: A User's Guide to Optimal Detection Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0298 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/22489 Moriarty J, Mancarella P (2017). Energy management: flexibility, risk and optimization Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsta.2017.0052 qmroHref Mijatovic A, MORIARTY JM, Vogrinc J (2017). Procuring load curtailment from local customers under uncertainty Philosophical Transactions A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsta.2016.0311 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/23520 Gonzalez J, MORIARTY JM, Palczewski J (2017). Bayesian calibration and number of jump components in electricity spot price models Energy Economics nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.04.022 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/22719 De Angelis T, Ferrari G, Martyr R et al. (2017). Optimal entry to an irreversible investment plan with non convex costs Mathematics and Financial Economics nameOfConference. 10.1007/s11579-017-0187-y https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/22543 MORIARTY JM, Gonzalez J, Kitapbayev Y et al. (2016). Application of sequential testing problem to online detection of transient stability status for power systems journal 55th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control. 10.1109/CDC.2016.7798484 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/53143 Schachter JA, Mancarella P, Moriarty J et al. (2016). Flexible investment under uncertainty in smart distribution networks with demand side response: Assessment framework and practical implementation Energy Policy nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.07.038 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/18209 MORIARTY JM, Palczewski J (publicationYear). Real option valuation for reserve capacity European Journal of Operational Research nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.ejor.2016.07.003 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/13838 De Angelis T, Ferrari G, Moriarty J (2015). A Nonconvex Singular Stochastic Control Problem and its Related Optimal Stopping Boundaries SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization nameOfConference. 10.1137/14096801x https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/12001 Kitapbayev Y, Moriarty J, Mancarella P (2015). Stochastic control and real options valuation of thermal storage-enabled demand response from flexible district energy systems Applied Energy nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.07.019 qmroHref Gonzalez J, Moriarty J (2014). Risk-sensitive optimal switching and applications to district energy systems journal 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS). 10.1109/pmaps.2014.6960649 qmroHref Hadjipantelis PZ, Aston JAD, Müller H-G et al. (publicationYear). Analysis of spike train data: A multivariate mixed effects model for phase and amplitude Electronic Journal of Statistics nameOfConference. 10.1214/14-ejs865e qmroHref Hadjipantelis PZ, Jones NS, Moriarty J et al. (2013). Function-valued traits in evolution Journal of The Royal Society Interface nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsif.2012.1032 qmroHref Kitapbayev Y, Moriarty J, Mancarella P et al. (2013). A real options assessment of operational flexibility in district energy systems journal 2013 10th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM). 10.1109/eem.2013.6607328 qmroHref Haegeman B, Hamelin J, Moriarty J et al. (2013). Robust estimation of microbial diversity in theory and in practice The ISME Journal: Multidisciplinary Journal of Microbial Ecology nameOfConference. 10.1038/ismej.2013.10 qmroHref Jones NS, Moriarty J (2013). Evolutionary inference for function-valued traits: Gaussian process regression on phylogenies Journal of The Royal Society Interface nameOfConference. 10.1098/rsif.2012.0616 qmroHref French S, Argyris N, Nuttall WJ et al. (2013). The early phase of a radiation accident: Revisiting thinking on evacuation and exclusion zones ISCRAM 2013 Conference Proceedings - 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management nameOfConference. doi qmroHref Evatt GW, Johnson PV, Moriarty J et al. (2011). The resource valuation and optimisation model-real impact from real options 35th APCOM Symposium - Application of Computers and Operations Research in the Minerals Industry, Proceedings nameOfConference. doi qmroHref Group TFP (2012). Phylogenetic inference for function-valued traits: speech sound evolution Trends in Ecology & Evolution nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.tree.2011.10.001 qmroHref Public EngagementI am organising the 2019 programme on the Mathematics of Energy Systems(link is external) at the Isaac Newton Institute in Cambridge.