Haroon MumtazProfessorEmail: h.mumtaz@qmul.ac.ukTelephone: +44 20 7882 8839Room Number: GC444Website: https://sites.google.com/site/hmumtaz77Office Hours: Tuesdays 3-5pmProfileResearchPublicationsProfileResearch interests: Macroeconomics, Econometrics and Quantitative Methods. Haroon Mumtaz is a Professor of Economics at Queen Mary University of London. His research interests are in applied Bayesian econometrics, monetary policy and International Macroeconomics. Previously Haroon was an economist at the Centre of Central Banking Studies in the Bank of England.ResearchResearch Interests: Aplied Bayesian econometrics Monetary policy International Macroeconomics Publications Theodoridis, K., Mumtaz, H. "The Federal Reserve's Implicit Inflation Target and Macroeconomic Dynamics. A SVAR Analysis", Forthcoming International Economic Review Cloyne, J., Martinez, J., Surico, P., Mumtaz, H. (2023), "Do Tax Increases Tame Inflation?", AEA Papers and Proceedings, 113: 377-81 Kaminska I., Mumtaz H., Šustek R.. (2021) "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates", Journal of Montery Economics Alessandri P., Mumtaz H. (2019) "Financial Regimes and Uncertainty Shocks", Journal of Monetary Economics Mandalinci Z., Mumtaz H. (2019) "Global Economic Divergence and Portfolio Capital Flows to Emerging Markets", Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Mumtaz H., Pinter G., Theodoridis K. (2018) "What do VARs Tell Us about the Impact of a Credit Supply Shock", International Economic Review Mumtaz H., Sunder-Plassmann L., Theophilopoulou A. (2018) "The State Level Impact of Uncertainty Shocks", Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Mumtaz H., Theodoridis K. (2018) "The changing transmission of uncertainty shocks in the US: An empirical analysis", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics Alessandri P., Mumtaz H. (2017) "Financial conditions and density forecasts for US output and inflation", Review of Economic Dynamics Liu P., Mumtaz H., Theodoridis H., Zanetti F. (2017) "Changing Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics Mumtaz H., Theodoridis K. (2017) "Common and country specific economic uncertainty", Journal of International Economics Mumtaz H., Theophilopoulou A. (2017) "The impact of monetary policy on inequality in the UK. An empirical analysis", European Economic Review Mumtaz H., Surico P. (2015) "The Transmission Mechanism in Good and Bad Times", International Economic Review Mumtaz H., Theodoridis K. (2015) "The international transmission of volatility shocks: an empirical analysis", Journal of European Economic Association Ellis C., Mumtaz H., Zabczyk P. (2014) "What Lies Beneath? A Time‐Varying Favar Model For The UK Transmission Mechanism", Economic Journal Barnett A., Mumtaz H., Theodoridis K. (2014) "Forecasting UK GDP growth and inflation under structural change. A comparison of models with time-varying parameters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 129-143. Mumtaz H., Zanetti F. (2013) "The Impact of the Volatility of Monetary Policy Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(4), pages 535-558, 06. Mumtaz H., Zanetti F. (2012) "Neutral Technology Shocks And The Dynamics Of Labor Input: Results From An Agnostic Identification", International Economic Review Mumtaz H., Surico P. (2012) "Evolving International Inflation Dynamics: World And Country-Specific Factors," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 10(4), pages 716-734, 08. Kapetanios G., Mumtaz H., Stevens I., Theodoridis K. (2012) "Assessing the Economy‐wide Effects of Quantitative Easing," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(564), pages F316-F347. Liu P., Mumtaz H. (2011) "Evolving Macroeconomic Dynamics in a Small Open Economy: An Estimated Markov Switching DSGE Model for the UK", Journal of Money Credit and Banking Mumtaz H., Simonelli S., Surico P. (2011) "International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective", Games and Economic Behavior Francesco B., Mumtaz H., Surico P. (2009) "The great moderation of the term structure of UK interest rates", Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 856-871, September.